摘要
依据美国农业部对外农业服务局(USDA-Foreign Agricultural Service)公布的统计数据,分析和预测了2012/2013产季世界主要地区和国家的落叶水果(苹果、葡萄和梨)的生产、贸易、消费以及加工状况。结果表明:2012/2013产季,世界主要落叶水果中,苹果和葡萄的产量、进出口量与消费量都有所增长,而梨因部分主产区遭受气候灾害而减产,因而进出口量与消费量也有所减少;中国的苹果、葡萄、梨等水果的产量呈现全面增长态势,已成为推动世界水果作物增产的最主要力量;但是主要水果持续增产,容易形成产大于销、供过于求的市场环境,果品滞销和产业波动风险加大,值得业界高度关注。
According to the statistic data of USDA - Foreign Agricultural Service, the yield, trade, consumption and processing situation of fresh deciduous fruit （apple, grape and pear） from world main country in 2012/2013 producing season were analyzed and forecasted. The results showed that in the world fresh deciduous fruits of 20]2/2013 producing season, the yield, trade and consumption of apple and grape would increased, but the yield of pear would be decreased because of climate disasters,then leading to the decreasing of trade and consumption. In China, the yield of apple-grape and pear would appear the situation of increasing and become the main driving force of world fruit yield increasing. However , the sustained increasing yield of fruit may easily form the situation that producing was more than sales and the market environment that supply was more than demand, then the risk of fruit unmarketable and industry volatility would be increased. It was value to be paid attention.
出处
《北方园艺》
CAS
北大核心
2014年第4期195-202,共8页
Northern Horticulture
基金
国家现代农业产业技术体系建设专项资助项目(CARS-28)
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71203181)
教育部人文社科资助项目(12YJC790117)
中央高校基本业务专项资助项目(QN201165)
关键词
苹果
葡萄
梨
生产
贸易
预测
apple
grape
pear
production
trade
forecast
