摘要
上海房地产业已具备产业发展潜力大、产业关联度广、附加值高、产业生产率上升等作为支柱产业的一些特征。但由于统计惯例和一些统计口径的问题 ,房地产业增加值占GDP的比重被严重低估。本文在对统计数据进行再处理的基础上 ,推算出实际可能的房地产业增加值占GDP比重 ,大约是官方统计数据的两倍。上海房地产业的支柱地位已经确立。此外 ,本文对房地产业的发展作了积极的预测 ,并指出房地产业健康发展所面临解决的问题 ,如国有房地产企业的改革 ,优化组合中介服务业、进一步发展房地产金融等。
Real estate in Shanghai shows some typical characters of a pole industry, such as vast potential developing strength,wide correlation with other industries, high added value, and rising productivity.But because of the problems in statistic practice and criterion, its added value is heavily devalued. In this paper, by writingup the added value with a widen approach,including some omitted items, the author conclude that the real ratio to GDP is approximately twice of the data released by statistic bureau. Thus, the paper draws the conclusion that the real estate has become one of the pole industries in Shanghai. Moreover, this paper foresees the prospect of the real estate and also points out some urgent problems, such as the reform of the stateowned developer, improved and integration of the specialized service, deep development of real estate finance, and etc.
出处
《财经研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2000年第12期44-50,共7页
Journal of Finance and Economics
关键词
上海经济
支柱产业
房地产业
shanghai economics
pole industry
real estate
