摘要
根据2005—2010年成都市温江区土地利用现状图，基于ArcGis平台，应用马尔科夫模型预测了该区2015、2020和2025年的土地利用变化情况。结果表明：未来十几年耕地面积将不断减少，城乡建设用地面积将不断增加；与2010年相比，2025年的耕地面积将减少38．12％，城乡建设用地面积将增加53．23％。
According to the status map of land use in Wenjiang district of Chengdu city during 2005 - 2010, using Markov model on ArcGis platform, we predicted the area changes of various land use types in this district in the years 2015, 2020 and 2025. The results show that ： in the future over ten years, the area of cultivated land will decrease gradually, and the area of urban and rural construction land will increase gradually ; in comparison with the area of land use in the year 2010, the area of cultivated land will decrease by 38.12%, and the area of urban and rural construction land will increase by 53.23% in the year 2025.
出处
《江西农业学报》
CAS
2014年第1期121-124,共4页
Acta Agriculturae Jiangxi
