摘要
本文应用灰色系统动态建模的理论和方法,以甘肃省小水电年发电量统计资料为数据数列,建立了小水电年发电量的长期预测灰色动态模型。经误差检验,模型精度较高,可供我省制定小水电发展规划及决策时参考。
Based on the theory and method of grey systems and the data of annual energy production in small hydro power stations in Gansu province, a grey dynamic model GM (1,1)for forecasting the annual energy output was presented. The model was verified through error analysis and can be used in planning and decision of the development of the small hydro power stations in Gansu province.
出处
《甘肃农业大学学报》
CAS
CSCD
1991年第1期104-107,共4页
Journal of Gansu Agricultural University
关键词
小水电
年发电量
灰色系统
预测
small hydro power station
annual energy production
grey system
forecasting.
