摘要
2013年在国内玉米供给过剩压力初露端倪的背景下,中国玉米再度丰收在望。新增供给继续增加,使得弱势运行的国内玉米市场下行压力进一步加大,目前东北产区新玉米开秤价普遍低于上年同期。随着国内新玉米上市量逐步增加,消费需求疲弱难以短期内明显改观,东北产区玉米供应压力突出,后市价格面临进一步回落的可能,建议各级政府抓紧做好各项准备工作,及时启动玉米临储收购政策,确保农民丰产、增收。国际方面,美国玉米丰收在望,带动全球玉米产量创历史新高,长期以来供求偏紧的形势得到明显缓解。国际市场呈震荡下行态势,目前价格已经回落到2010年9月以来的最低水平。
Under the first appearance of excess supply pressure of domestic maize market in 2013, China＇s maize may have a bumper harvest again. With new supply continuing increasing, the weakly running domestic maize market faced further increasing downward pressure. Currently, entry-level business price of new maize in Northeast producing region was generally lower than the price of same period of last year. As increasing supply of new maize in domestic market, it was difficult to improve the weak consumer demand remarkably in a short period, especially in Northeast producing region, excess supply pressure was prominent. Maize price was expected to face the possibility of further decline. In order to ensure farmers＇ bumper harvest and increasing income, we suggested that all levels of government should step up to do preparatory work and timely start maize acquisition policy of temporary storage. American maize promised a rich crop this year, driving global maize production hit a record level, long-held tense situation of supply has been obviously relieved. International market shocked in downward trend, current price of maize has fallen into the lowest since September 2010.
出处
《农业展望》
2013年第11期24-29,共6页
Agricultural Outlook
关键词
玉米
供给
需求
消费
价格
maize
supply
demand
consumption
price
