摘要
指出了全概率公式、条件概率及贝叶斯公式在实际应用中与其理论上的矛盾 ,从应用的角度重新叙述并精确论证了这些公式 。
The formula of total probability,conditional probability and bayes formula are elementary formulas of probability theory.Their applications to be contradictory theoretically is pointed out firstly.Then these formalas are revised and proved to make up defect in the original theorem.
基金
湖北省教委青年发展项目! (98B0 16 )
关键词
全概率公式
转移概率
概率空间
条件概率
formula of total probability
transition probability
probability space
conditional probabilL