期刊文献+

系统性金融风险度量方法的比较与应用 被引量:41

A Comparison and Application of Systemic Risk Measures
在线阅读 下载PDF
导出
摘要 本文采集我国14家上市银行2007年10月至2012年5月期间的股票价格数据,从理论和实证两个层面及中国银行业的视角,比较边际期望损失(MES)和条件在险价值(CoVaR)这两种系统性金融风险度量方法的联系与区别,并研究它们与传统风险度量方法期望损失(ES)和在险价值(VaR)的关系,提出在使用不同系统性金融风险度量方法时应注意方法的差异和应用环境,不应盲目应用。 This paper involved a theoretical and empirical comparison of two systemic risk measures,MES and CoVaR, based on the equity data of 14 listed banks from October 2007 to May 2012 of China, and studied the relationship between systemic risk and traditional risk measures i.e. ES and VaR. Results showed that it should pay attention to the differences of methods and application environment in using different systemic risk measures.
出处 《统计研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2013年第10期46-53,共8页 Statistical Research
基金 辽宁省高等学校"高端人才队伍建设工程"辽宁特聘教授支持计划(辽教发[2012]15号) 2012年第二批国家社科基金重大转重点项目"系统性金融风险防范和监管协调机制研究"(批准号:12AZD044)的阶段性研究成果 教育部重大专项项目"产业安全工程学研究"(批准号:239010522) 2012年度全国统计科研计划项目"我国系统性金融风险测量的统计问题研究"(批准号:2012LZ036) 2011年度辽宁省教育厅创新团队项目"区域金融与区域经济发展"(批准号:WT2011005)的联合资助
关键词 系统性风险 MES CoVaR 分位数回归 DCC-GARCH模型 Systemic Risk MES CoVaR Quantile Regression DCC-GARCH Model
  • 相关文献

参考文献11

  • 1范小云,王道平,方意.我国金融机构的系统性风险贡献测度与监管——基于边际风险贡献与杠杆率的研究[J].南开经济研究,2011(4):3-20. 被引量:161
  • 2高国华,潘英丽.银行系统性风险度量——基于动态CoVaR方法的分析[J].上海交通大学学报,2011,45(12):1753-1759. 被引量:159
  • 3Acharya V. V. , Pedersen L. H. , Philippon T. Measuring systemic risk [ C ]. AFA 2011 Denver Meetings Paper,2010.
  • 4Acharya V. V.. A theory of systemic risk and design of prudential bank regulation [ J ]. Journal of Financial Stability, 2009,5 ( 3 ) : 224 - 255.
  • 5Adrian T., Brunnermeier M. K.. CoVaR [ W ]. NBER Working Paper No. 17454,2011.
  • 6Brownlees C. T. , Engle R.. Volatility, Correlation And Tails For Systemic Risk Measurement [ W ]. Social Science Research Network, Working Paper,2011.
  • 7Benoit S. , Collettaz G. , Hurlin C.. A Theoretical and Empirical Comparison of Systemic Risk Measures: MES versus CoVaR [ W ]. Social Science Reaserch Network, Working paper,2012.
  • 8Girardi G. , Ergtln A. T.. Systemic Risk Measurement: Multivariate GARCH Estimation of CoVaR [ W ]. Social Science Research Network, Working paper,2011.
  • 9Jorion P.. Va.lue at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk [ M ]. McGraw-Hill, 3rd Edition,2007.
  • 10Koenker R. , G. Jr. Bassett. Regression Quantiles [ J ]. Econometrica, 1978,46( 1 ) :33 -50.

二级参考文献37

  • 1马君潞,范小云,曹元涛.中国银行间市场双边传染的风险估测及其系统性特征分析[J].经济研究,2007,42(1):68-78. 被引量:236
  • 2Furfine C. Interbank exposures: Quantifying the risk of contagion[J]. Journal of Money Credit and Bank- ing, 2003(35) :111-128.
  • 3Wells S. Financial interlinkages in the united kin- domes interbank market and the risk of contagion [EB/OL]. (2004-09-01)[2011-01-05]. http://ide- as. repec, org/p/boe/boeewp/230, html.
  • 4Elsinger H, Lehar A , Summer M. A new approach to assessing the risk of interbank loans [.B/OL]. (2002-03-01)[2011-01-05]. http://www. enb. aten/img/fsr3_anewapproach tcml6 9476. pdf.
  • 5Blavarg M, Nimander P. Interbank exposures and systemic risk[J]. Economic Review, 2002(2): 19-45.
  • 6Mistrulli P E. Assessing financial contagion in the in- terbank market: Maximum entropy versus observed interbank lending patterns[J]. Journal of Banking and Finance, 35(5): 1114-1127.
  • 7Toivanen M. Financial interlinkages and risk of con- tagion in the Finnish interbank market[J]. Journal of Financial Services Research, 2009,29 (1) : 37-60.
  • 8Adrian T, Brunnermeier M K. CoVaR [EB/OL]. (2008-10-15)[2011-01-05]. http://ideas, repec, org/ p/fip/fednsr/348, html.
  • 9Roengpitya R, Rungcharoenkitkul P. Measuring sys- temic risk and financial linkages in the Thai banking system[EB/OL]. (2010-02-26)[2011-01-05]. http: //www. bis. org/repofficepubl/arpreseareh 201003. 06. pdf.
  • 10Huang X, Zhou H, Zhu H B. A framework for as- sessing the systemic risk of major financial institutions[J]. Journal of Banking and Finance, 2009 33 (11) : 2036-2049.

共引文献291

同被引文献545

引证文献41

二级引证文献652

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部