摘要
通过构建一个包含环境约束的DSGE模型,运用贝叶斯估计对主要参数进行校准,本文分析了不同政府视界类型下的政府和消费者环境质量偏好及其随机冲击对宏观经济变量(产出、消费与资本)、环境质量与消费者和政府效用的影响。研究结果表明:(1)政府环境质量偏好的增强或其正向冲击难以引致经济增长和环境质量的"双赢";(2)居民环境质量偏好的提高或其正向冲击能够实现经济增长和环境质量的"双赢";(3)远视型政府会从自身长远效用出发追求"绿色GDP",这有益于社会"幸福指数"的提高。
By building a DSGE model including environmental constraints, this paper analyzes impact on C variables (output,consumption and capital), environmental quality and consumer and government utility of governments' and consumers' environmental preferences and their random shocks in different types of government horizon . The results showed that: (1)enhancement of government environmental preferences or its positive shock is difficult to lead "win-win" of economic growth and environmental quality; ( 2 ) improvement of resident environmental preferences or its positive shock can achieve "win-win" of economic growth and environmental quality; ( 3 ) Hyperopia-oriented government will pursuit "Green GDP" from its own long-term utility,improving social "happiness index".
出处
《中国经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第5期28-38,共11页
China Economic Studies
基金
国家社会科学基金重大招标项目<基于自主创新能力增进的产学研合作创新研究>(项目编号:10zd&020)的资助