摘要
中国—东盟自由贸易区的建立,将极大地促进中国—泰国间的双边贸易。分析了中泰间的双边贸易发展情况,利用双边贸易互补竞争指数测算了中泰贸易的互补与竞争程度,得到结论是,中泰贸易既存在互补,也存在竞争,而竞争程度稍大于互补程度。利用经济计量模型预测了2012-2015年的中泰间双边贸易,结果表明,中泰间双边贸易将提前实现1000亿美元的目标。
The setting up of China and ASEAN Free Trade Area （CAFTA） will greatly promote the bilateral trade between China and Thailand. After analyzing the development of the bilateral trade between China and Thailand and measuring the degree of complementary and competitiveness in China-Thailand＇s trade by using bilateral Trade Complementary and Competitive index, we get a conclusion that there are complementary and competitiveness in China-Thailand＇s trade, the competitiveness is a little stronger than complementary and point out that the bilateral trade between China and Thailand in 2012 -2015 will achieve the target of 100 billion US $ in advance.
出处
《华侨大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
2013年第3期5-13,共9页
Journal of Huaqiao University(Philosophy & Social Sciences)
关键词
中泰贸易
互补与竞争
计量模型
bilateral trade of China-Thailand
complementary and competitiveness
econometric model
