摘要
介绍了用三性法（周期性、公度性、黄金分割性）对１９９９年９月２１日台湾７．６级大震的三要素预报，并用构造分段公式、“静中动判据”补充作了讨论。鉴于短临预报的重要，我们还用磁暴倍九律，即预滑－磁暴－天气韵律模式对９，２１大震的发震日期的预报作了讨论．
The three elements of predicting the september 21, 1999 great earthquake Ms = 7.6 in the Taiwan island by means of the triplet method, the periodicity, the commensurability and golden section, are introduced. Using the formula of tectonic segmentation and the judgement of activity in quiescence, a supplementary discussion on the prediction is carried out. Seeing that short and immediate prediction of earthquake is very important, with use of the multiplied nine days regularity of magnetic storm, namely the precreep-magnetic stom-weather rhythm model, the occurrence date of the September 21, 1999 great earthquake is discussed.
出处
《自然灾害学报》
CSCD
2000年第4期29-34,共6页
Journal of Natural Disasters
基金
中国科学院国家天文观测中心合作研究项目
关键词
三必一法
构造分段
台湾省
9.21大震
地震预报
triplet method, prediction of the September 21, great Taiwan earthquake, tectonic segmentation, judgement of activity in quiescence, multiplied nine days regularity
