摘要
灰色优势分析能在排除主观因素干扰的情况下对各评价指标进行赋权,提升了评价体系的可信度。农业现代化产出指标和投入指标的关联序分别表征了各评价指标在衡量农业现代化发展水平时的代表性强弱。结果显示:1981—2010年中国农业现代化进程已先后走出"高效益、低水平"和"高水平、低效益"的非良性状态,逐步趋向"高效益、高水平"的良性发展。随着资源、环境、人力等因素对农业的约束日渐趋紧,未来中国农业现代化水平的提升不能单纯依靠农业投入产出的规模扩张,必须注重提高农业投入产出的效益水平。
In accordance with the principles of the importance and feasibility, the evaluation of agricultural modernization can be attributed to the indicators of output and input indicators two broad categories. Grey Superior Analysis excluding subjective factors in the case of the evaluation indicators of empowerment0 this method can enhance the credibility of the evaluation system. The associated sequence of evaluation reflects the strength of the representation of the evaluation of indicators to measure the lever of agricultural modernization. The Chinese agricultural modernization index fluctuations characteristic in the years 1981-2010 shows that： Chinese agricultural modernization has to get rid of the ＂high-efficiency, low-level＂ and ＂high-level, low-benefit＂ non-benign state, and tend to the ＂high-efficiency, high-level＂ healthy development. With the increasingly tight constraints of resources, environment, human and other factors on agriculture, the improvement of the level of agricultural modernization in China can not rely solely on the expansion of the agricultural input and output, must focus on the level of efficiency in the future.
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第8期116-120,共5页
Economic Geography
关键词
农业现代化水平
灰色优势分析
测度
波动趋势
level of agricultural modernization
grey superior analysis
measurement
volatility trend
