摘要
在影响中日关系的众多因素中,结构性因素是非常重要的。文章在梳理了之前学者对中日关系影响因素研究的基础上,选取了几项论及比较集中的影响因素进行检验,并对其进行了概念操作化,将其定量为可以分析的具体指标。在数据的选用上,文章选择了1991年—2011年中日关系及各项影响指标的相关数据,并分别对每项指标进行二元回归分析。研究发现,影响中日关系的结构性矛盾是现实存在的,东亚格局的变化和中国的崛起都会使中日关系下降,而中美关系的改善不仅不能使中日关系得到改善,反而会加剧中日之间的矛盾和对抗,这一点与许多学者提出的"日本在对华战略上跟随美国脚步"的观点相反。
In many factors which affect Sino-Japanese relations, structural factors are very important. This article in combing the scholars of the past research on Sino-Japanese relations influence factors, on the basis of selecting a few discussion comparing of the influence factors of concentration, and carries on the concept of the operation, specific indicators of quantitative to analysis them. On the selection of data, this paper chose the 1991-2011 years of Sino-Japanese relations between the impact indicators and the relevant data, and binary regression analysis on every index. Through research can be found that affect Sino-Japanese relations of structural problems are a fact of life, the change of pattern of east Asia and the rise of China will make relations between China and Japan fell, and Sino-U. S. relations improvement not make Sino-Japanese relations improved, but exacerbate the conflicts and confi＇ontation between China and Japan.This conclusion is at opposite pole to many scholars ＇ point： Japan＇s Chinese strategy follow the U.S.footsteos.
出处
《日本问题研究》
CSSCI
2013年第3期28-33,共6页
Japanese Research
基金
2012年度辽宁省社科规划重点项目(L12AGJ002)
关键词
冷战后
中日关系
结构性影响因素
二元回归分析
The post-cold war
Sino-Japanese relations
Structural influence factors
The binary regression analysis
