摘要
为了有效地减轻或避免风电场对电力系统的不利影响,提高风电场在电力市场中的竞争能力,需要对风速进行准确的预测。文章基于灰色系统理论,提出了具有参数修正的灰色关联加权组合预测方法,对风速进行了预测研究。通过对某一地区的风速预测,验证了该方法的有效性,该研究具有一定的理论价值和实际应用价值。
In order to mitigate or avoid adverse effects oi wind tarIn on power system, anu to m^ptt, w competition ability of wind farm in electricity market, it is necessary to forecast wind speed exactly. Based on grey system theory, this paper proposes a grey relational weighing combination model with parameter modification to forecast wind speed. The effectiveness of the proposed model is demonstrated by a test in a certain area. The results show that this method is useful both in theory and in practice.
出处
《可再生能源》
CAS
北大核心
2013年第8期50-53,共4页
Renewable Energy Resources
基金
住房与城乡建设部科学技术计划项目(2010-K1-50)
山东省高等学校青年骨干教师国内访问学者经费资助项目
关键词
灰色系统
灰色关联加权组合
参数修正
风速
grey system
grey relational weighing combination
parameter modification
windspeed
