摘要
利用2000—2011年我国环境规制和3个典型的污染密集型产业的面板数据,运用协整分析、Granger因果关系分析、VAR模型和VEC模型等方法和工具,分析了我国环境污染治理投资强度与3个污染密集型产业发展的相互关系。结果表明:环境污染治理投资强度和3个污染密集型产业的发展均存在长期协整均衡关系;污染密集型产业的发展均能构成环境污染治理投资强度变化的Granger成因,反之则不成立;当短期波动使环境污染治理投资强度与3个污染密集型产业发展的关系偏离长期均衡状态时,偏离部分将在当年被不同程度地调整和修正。最后,提出环境规制应为实现我国两型社会保驾护航的政策建议。
Using the panel data of environmental regulation and three typical pollution-intensive industries from 2000to 2011,the paper analyzes the relationships between the investment intensity of environmental pollution control and the development of three pollution-intensive industries.The results show as follows：there exists the long-term cointegration equilibrium relationship between the investment intensity of environmental pollution control and the development of three pollution-intensive industries;the development of three pollution-intensive industries are the Granger causes of the change of environmental pollution control investment intensity,and vice versa;when short wave makes this relationship deviate from long-run equilibrium,those deviate sections are adjusted and corrected with different degrees in the year.Finally,it puts forward the suggestions for realizing China’s two-oriented society.
出处
《技术经济》
CSSCI
2013年第6期65-71,共7页
Journal of Technology Economics
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目"环境规制下高技术产业技术创新效率综合度量及应用研究"(12YJA630018)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目"我国省域政产学研金合作绩效评价及绩效持续性实现机制研究"(NC2012008)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目"高技术产业技术创新低碳化测度及实现机制--以江苏省为例的研究"(NJ20130022)
关键词
环境规制
环境污染治理
污染密集型产业
协整机制
VAR模型
VEC模型
environmental regulation
environmental pollution control
pollution-intensive industry
cointegration mechanism
VAR model
VEC model
