摘要
运用动态计量分析模型实证考察了外商直接投资与我国造纸工业出口额之间的关系。结果显示,外商直接投资与我国造纸工业出口额之间存在长期协整关系及从外商直接投资到出口额的单向因果关系;外商直接投资在促进我国造纸工业出口额增长方面存在2年的滞后期;外商直接投资每增加1%,可使我国造纸工业出口额在3年内共累计增长1.300%。
Study on the dynamic relationship between foreign direct investment （FDI） and export amount of China＇s paper industry was car- fled out by applying unit root test, co-integration test, Granger causality test and polynomial distributed lags model. The results showed that there is a long-term co-integration between FDI and export amount of China＇s paper industry, and FDI is Granger cause of export amount. The PDLs results showed that the lag period of the influence of FDI on export amount is 2 years, the 1% increased in FDI can lead to a 1. 300% increasd in export amount of China＇s paper industry within 3 years. FDI promotes export amount of China＇s paper industry gradually and sig- nificantly.
出处
《中国造纸学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2013年第2期23-28,共6页
Transactions of China Pulp and Paper
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金
关键词
外商直接投资
造纸工业出口额
协整检验
多项式分布滞后模型
foreign direct investment
export amount of China＇s paper industry
co-integration test
polynomial distributed lags
