摘要
利用《中国统计年鉴》提供的数据 ,运用扩展线性支出系统等模型对 1 995年～1 998年我国城镇居民的消费支出情况进行实证分析 ,以揭示近年来我国城镇居民消费支出的结构及特点 ,以及消费不旺局面的内在原因。还对国家大规模提高机关、企事业单位、离退休人员收入所引起的消费总量及结构的变化作出预测 ,最后探讨了其他一些与消费密切相关的经济热点。
In order to reveal the patterns and the features of Chinese urban residents consume expenditure in recent years and the reasons of depression of consumption, we use the data of 《Chinese Statistics Yearbook》(1995～1998) to do the positive analysis on our urban residents consumption by applying model of ELES. In this paper we also forecast the changing scale of consumption and patterns which were caused by increasing salary of institutions、companies、facilities as well as retired people. Meanwhile we discuss other economic hot issues which are related to consumption.
关键词
消费结构
实证分析
中国
居民消费
消费需求
Extended Linear Expenditure System (ELES)
Consumption patterns
Positive analysis
