摘要
本文利用我国2005—2010年加工贸易等相关数据实证检验生产片断化与经济波动的国际协同效应。研究结果表明:生产片断化与一般贸易对于我国经济与世界经济波动的协同过程均具有显著的正向作用,但二者的作用机制有所不同,前者是由生产片断化产品的互补性特征决定的,而后者与样本期内经济波动主要来源于需求冲击有关。因此,我国应该通过适度发展生产片断化,选择多元化的片断化合作伙伴以及增强生产片断化的根植性来分散风险。
This paper uses the relevant data of Chinese processing trade from 2005 to 2010 to positively test the international synergy effect of production fragmentation and economic fluctuation.The research result indicates that: both production fragmentation and general trade play significant positive roles in the synergy process of the fluctuation of Chinese economy and world economy.But the functioning mechanisms of the two are different.The former is decided by the complementary feature of producing fragmented products but the latter is related to the economic fluctuation stemmed from demand shock in the sample period.Therefore,we should diversify risks by moderately developing production fragmentation,selecting diverse fragmented cooperating partners and strengthening the rootage of production fragmentation.
出处
《当代经济科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第3期82-86,127,共5页
Modern Economic Science
基金
广东省人文社科重大攻关项目"全球分工模式演变与广东新的产业竞争优势培育研究"(项目编号:10ZGXM79005)
广东省哲学社会科学规划项目"全球生产网络下广东集群企业成长的机制
评价及对策研究"(项目编号:09E20)
关键词
生产片断化
加工贸易
经济波动
协同效应
Production Fragmentation
Processing Trade
Economic Fluctuation
Synergy Effect