摘要
本文探究中国农村劳动力跨省流动的两大问题:一是什么样的农村劳动力更倾向于跨省流动?二是流入省份具有何种特征,将更具吸引外省人口流入的力量?基于传统劳动力迁移、人力资本、新劳动力迁移与制度变迁理论,从个体、家庭与省级层面,用固定效应与随机效应的离散选择Logit模型分析。结论为:有外出经历、受教育水平较低的农村劳动力,更倾向于跨省流动;家中没孩子或孩子数量较多的劳动力、土地被征用(或无耕地)的劳动力,更倾向于跨省流动;某省人均收入水平低、土地面积少,是促使省内农村劳动力向外省流动的推力;经济发展水平越高、流动人口的人均收入水平越高、就业机会越多且由省际距离产生的流动成本较小的省,对外省的农村流动劳动力更有吸引力。
This paper answers two issues on the inter-provincial migration for rural migrant labor force in China. Firstly, what are the influencing factors for rural migrant laborers＇ decision in whether to take inter-provincial migration or not？ Secondly, what are the factors that make the ingoing provinces more attractive for inter-provincial migrant laborers？ We base on traditional theory, human capital theory, new theory and institution change theory of labor migration, and use discrete choice Logit model with fixed effect and characteristics are significantly affecting migrant random effect. Individual, family and provincial laborers＇ decision： education and experience of migration, number of children and ways of land being cultivated, per capita income and land per capita of the outgoing provinces have significant positive or negative impacts. Economic factors have a dominant role in ingoing provinces＇ attractiveness： higher development level, higher per capita income, larger probability of employment and smaller distance between outgoing and ingoing provinces lead to larger attractiveness of the ingoing provinces for rural migrant labor force.
出处
《人口与经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第3期53-61,共9页
Population & Economics
关键词
跨省流动决策
流入省吸引力
个体
家庭与省级
离散选择Logit模型
inter-provincial migration
attractiveness of ingoing province
individual, family and provincial
discrete choice Logit model
