摘要
经济预测中发生主要影响因素改变时 ,若采用通常的预测方法会因历史数据过少而出现较大误差 .此时采用统计分析的灵活方法来估计和推断具有较好的预测效果 .文中对我国轿车市场需求作了深入的分析研究 ,提出了新的统计预测方法 .从收入角度出发对我国轿车市场需求作了合理的估计和预测 .
When some main fac tors change, there is uncertainty in economic forecast if the forecast method is used as usual. It is preferable to use the method of statistical analysis in th is case. The market demand for car is analyzed in the paper for this reason, and therefore reasonable estimation and forecast are made by using the new statisti cal method from the point of view of income.
出处
《西安电子科技大学学报》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2000年第5期659-663,共5页
Journal of Xidian University
基金
东风汽车公司经营战略研究资助项目
