摘要
建立水运运力需求-运力供给-运价的系统动力学模型,定量剖析整个市场的运行与反应机制,并对五种情况下的货主租船决策进行模拟与分析.结果表明,该SD模型适用于LPG租船市场发展趋势的长期预测,为研究LPG租船决策模型提供了新思路.
A system dynamic model of demand-supply-price is proposed to analyze the operation and response mechanisms of the shipping market.Through simulating five different chartering decisions of shippers,the paper finally finds the best object of chartering ships for the cargo owners.Results show that the SD model is suitable for long-term forecast of LPG charter market development trend,which provides a new idea for research of LPG charter decision-making model.
出处
《大连海事大学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2013年第1期89-92,共4页
Journal of Dalian Maritime University
基金
辽宁省教育厅高校科研项目(2009A814)
教育部人文社会科学研究项目(09YJA790020)
辽宁省社会科学规划基金项目(L11AJY003)
