摘要
提出一种灰色-马尔科夫综合风速预测模型。该模型由灰色GM(1,1)模型使得小时风速序列数据近似平稳,然后由马尔科夫模型通过状态转移概率矩阵预测风速。仿真结果验证了所提方法的有效性。
A Gray-Markov wind speed forecast model is proposed by this paper, The model consists of gray GM ( 1,1 ) model makes the hour wind speed the approximate stationary sequence data, and then by the Markov model by the state transition probability matrix to predict wind speed. The simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.