摘要
本文利用1997—2011年的保费收入和GDP数据,运用一元线性回归方法,通过对自相关性的修正,最终建立了无截距项回归模型,并根据该模型进一步预测了"十二五"期间我国保险业发展情况。最终预测在2015年我国保费收入将达到2.3万亿人民币,低于政府工作报告的预期。
By using the premium income and GDP data of 1997 to 2011 and taking advantalge of simple linear regression, the author finally forms the non - interceptive regressive model in this paper. And then the de-velopmental situation of insurance industry during the period of Twelfth Five - Year will be forecasted according to the model. The expected premium income will reach 2.3 trillion in 2015, which is lower than the expectation of that by Report on the Work of the Government.
出处
《保险职业学院学报》
2013年第1期22-27,共6页
Journal of Insurance Professional College
