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中国社会的代际收入流动性趋势:2000~2009 被引量:84

Intergenerational Income Mobility Trends in China:2000~2009
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摘要 本文使用CHNS的1989~2009年数据,估计了中国2000、2004、2006和2009年的代际收入弹性。通过优化估计方法和细致的数据处理,努力剔除偏差因素使各年的估计具有可比性,我们得到了上述各年的代际收入弹性分别为0.66、0.49、0.35、0.46。该结果反映出中国的代际收入弹性大体上是呈下降趋势的。但与已有国家的相关研究结果相比,中国的代际收入弹性仍然偏高,中国的家庭因素对子辈收入的影响仍然很大。改变这种状况需进一步深化相关改革,推进机会均等机制的形成。 This paper uses CHNS data from 1989 to 2009, estimating China's intergenerational income elasticity of year 2000, 2004, 2006 and 2009. Through the optimization of estimation methods and detailed data process- ing, we eliminate the deviation factors and make the estimates of every year comparable, and get intergenera- tional income elasticity for the year 2000, 2004, 2006 and 2009 are 0. 66, 0. 49, 0. 35 and 0.46 respectively. This reflects China's intergenerational income elasticity is substantially declined. Compared with other coun- tries' , China's intergenerational income elasticity is still on the high side. China's family factors on the influ- ence of the younger generation income remains strong. To change this situation, China needs further reform to promote equal opportunity.
出处 《金融研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2013年第2期19-32,共14页 Journal of Financial Research
关键词 代际收入流动性 代际收入弹性 时间趋势 估计偏误 Intergenerational income mobility Intergenerational income elasticity Time trend Estimation errors
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