摘要
选取黑龙江省13个地级市2000—2010年国内旅游收入、国际旅游收入和各地区生产总值三个指标的面板数据,运用面板协整方法度量黑龙江省各地区旅游收入与经济增长之间的长期协整关系,并对二者关系做格兰杰因果检验,在此基础上揭示黑龙江省旅游经济效应的内部分异规律。研究表明:长期内,黑龙江省内旅游经济效应存在显著地域差异,旅游发展对黑龙江省及哈尔滨、牡丹江等6地市的经济增长起到一定的促进作用,但是带动力度较弱,国内旅游收入对经济增长的作用更明显。同时,哈尔滨等4地市经济增长是国内旅游收入的Granger原因,其经济增长可以推动国内旅游的发展;黑河的国内旅游收入与经济增长互为Granger原因,表明黑河经济增长与国内旅游互相促进。
In this paper, the panel data of domestic tourism income, imemational tourism income and GDP of 13 cities in Heilongjiang Province in 2000-2010 was used as three indicators for measure of the long-run cointegration relationship between tourism income and economic growth in the 13 cities in Heilongjiang Province with the panel cointegration method. And the Granger cause test was done between tourism income and economic growth. After the above analyses, the inner dissimilarity rules of tourism economic effect were revealed in Heilongjiang Province. Results show that in the long term, the tourism economic effect in Heilongjiang Province shows the significant regional differences, and the tourism development in Heilongjiang Province and six cities in it such as Harbin and Mudanjiang has played a certain role in promoting the economic growth, but the driving efforts are weak. At the same time, the effect of the domestic tourism income on the economic growth is more obvious. Meanwhile, the economic growth in Harbin, Mudanjiang, Daqing and Daxinganling is the Granger cause of the domestic tourism income in those areae. The economic growth in above area can promote the development of domestic tourism.The domestic tourism income and economic growth are mutual Granger cause relationship in Heihe, and these two aspects in Heihe can accelerate each other.
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第2期172-178,共7页
Economic Geography
基金
黑龙江省教育厅人文社会科学项目(12522024)
关键词
旅游经济效应
面板协整
分异
黑龙江省
tourism economic effect
panel cointegration
dissimilarity
Heilongjiang Province
