摘要
农业机械化对农业经济具有促进作用,其结果体现了经济效应。利用河南省1995—2010年农业机械化与农林牧渔产量相关时间序列数据,通过ADF检验、协整检验、VAR模型的估计、脉冲响应等方法来分析河南省农业生产总值与农业机械化的长期动态关系。结论表明,河南农业机械的总量增长与农业总产值具有长期稳定关系,农业机械化能促进农业生产值的增长。基于实证分析,提出政府加大对农机的资金投入和补贴力度、调整农业产业结构等政策建议。
The agricultural mechanization can promote the agricultural economy, the results reflect the economic effect.Using the series of time data from 1995 to 20 I0 of the agricultural mechanization and the production of Agriculture, Forestry, Animal husbandry and Fisheries to analyze the long-run dynamic relationship between the total value of agriculture production in Henan province and the agricultural mechanization by the ways of ADF Test, Cointegration Test,the estimation of VAR,Impulse Response.The conclusions show that the long-term stable relationship between the total amount of growth in the agricultural mechanization and the total of agricultural output.The agricultural mechanization can promote the growth of the value of agricultural production.On the basis of empirical analysis, making some policy recommendations that the government should have increased fund and subsidies to the agriculture machines, and adjusting the agricultural structure and so on.
出处
《经济研究导刊》
2013年第4期49-51,共3页
Economic Research Guide
关键词
农业机械化
VAR
ADF
河南省
agricultural mechanization
VAR
ADF
Henan Province
