中国碳排放与经济增长间脱钩关系的实证分析被引量：29

Empirical Analysis on Decoupling Relationship Between Carbon Emission and Economic Growth in China

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摘要利用Tapio脱钩模型和Kaya恒等式,使用LMDI方法,建立扩展的Tapio脱钩模型。选取1990—2010年中国碳排放量和经济增长的数据,对中国碳排放与经济增长的脱钩关系进行定量分析。研究结果表明:1990—2010年期间中国碳排放与经济增长总体上具有弱脱钩关系,经济增长是碳排放增加的主要原因,能源强度降低是实现碳排放与经济增长脱钩的关键。最后提出"降低能源强度、优化产业结构、调整能源结构"的对策以实现碳排放与经济增长的脱钩。 Based on Tapio model and Kaya identity, this paper constructs the expand Tapio model by using the method of logarithmic mean divi sia index. Using the data about China＇s carbon emission and economic growth from 1990 to 2010,it analyzes quantitatively the decoupling rela tionship between carbon emission and economic growth in China. The results show as follows., the deeoupling relationship between carbon emis sion and economic growth is proved to be weak decoupling economic growth is the main reason for the increasing of carbon emission;the decrea sing of energy intensity is the key to realize the decoupling between carbon emission and economic growth. Finally,it puts forward some sugges tions to achieve relative decoupling between carbon emission and economic growth, such as reducing energy intensity, optimizing industrial struc ture,adjusting energy structure and so on.

作者赵爱文李东

机构地区徐州工程学院经济学院南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院

出处《技术经济》 CSSCI 2013年第1期106-111,共6页 Journal of Technology Economics

基金国家经济动员办公室项目(G071203) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(11YJC790189)

关键词碳排放经济增长脱钩理论 carbon emission economic growth decoupling theory

分类号 X24 [环境科学与工程—环境科学] F124 [经济管理—世界经济] F224 [经济管理—国民经济]

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