摘要
为进行水上交通事故的预测,在已有的GM(1,1)模型的基础上,通过对原始数据弱化处理及背景值的进一步优化,构建出新的灰预测模型。在MATLAB平台上,对原始的水上交通事故数据进行模拟并对未来几年水上交通的事故发生趋势进行预测。结果表明,优化的GM(1,1)模型达到了预期的效果,可以被接受。
In order to predict marine traffic accidents, on the basis of the existing GM（1,1） model, by weakening the processing on the original data and further optimization of background value. Build new gray prediction model. In MATLAB platform, to simulate the original marine traffic accident data then predict the trend of marine traffic accident in the next few years. The results show that the optimized GM（1,1） model achieve the desired effect, and can be accepted.
出处
《科技视界》
2012年第33期30-31,共2页
Science & Technology Vision
