摘要
人民币升值对中国产业结构优化升级的影响路径主要有两条:一是直接效应,即通过影响出口和FDI对产业结构优化升级产生影响;二是间接效应,即通过影响就业结构对产业结构优化升级产生影响。文章基于线性回归模型,分析了人民币升值影响中国产业结构调整的路径,从而得出以下结论:自主的、适时适度的人民币升值对加快中国内需产业发展,加快中国经济结构调整具有积极作用。同时,提出应正确认识GDP总量评价,积极拓展内需产业,提高居民收入,挖掘消费拉动经济的潜力等对策。
There are two influence ways of the appreciation of RMB on the optimization and upgrading of Chinese industrial structure, one is the direct effect, which effect on the industrial structure from the export and FDI, another one is indirect effect,which effect the structure from employment structure. This article analyzes the path on which the regression affectes the industrial restructuring in China, and reaches the following conclusion： the independent, timely and appropriate appreciation of the RMB has a rare active effect to accelerate the development of domestic industry, and speed up the economic structural adjustment in China. Moreover, it puts forward some countermeasures such as understanding the GDP apprisement, developing domestic business, improving the residents＇ input and diging the potential of consumption to the economy.
出处
《西安财经学院学报》
CSSCI
2013年第1期26-29,77,共5页
Journal of Xi’an University of Finance & Economics
关键词
人民币升值
产业结构优化
中间变量
线性回归
RMB appreciation~ industrial structure optimization
intermediate variable~ linear regression.
