摘要
选择成渝通道作为研究对象,分析通道中影响出行者方式选择行为的因素。在行为调查(revealedpreference,RP)数据的基础上,将车内时间、费用、候车时间以及个人属性(年龄、收入等)作为解释变量,建立多项Logit模型(multinomial logit model,MNL),预测成渝通道中各种交通方式的分担率以及影响出行者方式选择行为的显著因素,分析不同显著因素组合下通道中各种交通方式分担率变化。研究表明:成渝动车的市场分担率达到62%,成为通道中客运主体,而候车时间、费用以及收入成为有效影响成渝通道出行者选择行为的显著因素。
The Chengdu-Chongqing transportation corridor was selected as the research object to analyze the factors affecting travelers’ choice of trip mode.Based on the revealed preference（RP） survey data in the Chengdu-Chongqing transportation corridor,and selecting the in-vehicle time,cost and waiting time as explanatory variables,we constructed the multinomial Logit model（MNL） to predict the mode sharing rate and significant factors that affect travelers’ choice of trip mode in the corridor,and analyzed the variation of mode sharing rate based on combinations of different significant factors.The results show that the sharing rate of rail reaches 62% and it is the main mode in the corridor;waiting time,cost and travelers’income are major factors that impact their choice of trip mode.
出处
《中国科技论文》
CAS
北大核心
2012年第11期876-879,共4页
China Sciencepaper
关键词
交通规划与管理
成渝通道
多项Logit模型
行为调查
transportation planning and management
Chengdu-Chongqing transportation corridor
multinomial Logit model
revealed preference
