摘要
在介绍国际气候博弈概念的基础上,用SWOT分析方法对中国在国际气候博弈中的优势、劣势、机会和威胁进行分析。研究结果表明:中国在应对气候变化问题上的优势是与发展中国家的意见趋于一致,但是存在资金和技术上的劣势;不仅面临着国际气候博弈格局变化的机遇,同时也受到来自其他国家态度和立场转变的威胁。在此基础上构建了SWOT矩阵,并提出几点战略思考:明确面向全球减排目标的国家战略;与美国取得更广泛的共识;构建更加公平和有效的国际气候制度及保障机制;保持参与国际气候谈判的积极立场;关注美国立场变化;强调公平与正义等。
Based on an introduction to the concept of international climate change game, the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats of China are mainly analyzed in international climate game with SWOT method. The results reveal that the strengths of China in coping with cli- mate change are the opinions of the developing countries to the agreerpent, with the disadvantages of funds and technology. China not only faces with the opportunities of the change of international climate pattern, but also meets the threat of other counties change their attitudes and positions. Then the SWOT matrix based on the SWOT is constructed. Lastly some strategic thinking for it is put forward. National strategy for global emission reduction targets need to be cleared, with a broader consensus with the United States obtained, a more equitable and effective international climate regime and the protection mechanisms built, a positive position to participate in international climate negotiations maintained, concerning about the U. S. position change and emphasis on fairness and justice etc.
出处
《世界科技研究与发展》
CSCD
2012年第6期1040-1045,共6页
World Sci-Tech R&D
基金
中国科学院战略性先导科技专项"国别排放监测及政策分析数据库"(XDA05150100)课题
国家973项目"科技应对气候变化国际合作研究"(2010CB955800)资助
