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国际储备、经济基本面脆弱性与危机发生可能性——基于新兴市场国家(地区)的实证研究 被引量:1

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摘要 本文在实证分析国际储备、经济基本面脆弱性与危机发生可能性关系的基础上,主要讨论国际储备能否有效地降低由国内经济基本面恶化导致的危机发生可能性问题。我们认为,国际储备能够将由经济基本面脆弱性因素(国际收支失衡和内部经济失衡)导致的危机发生可能性分别降低4.82%和6.87%。政策建议方面,一国尤其是新兴市场国家不应将国际储备增长视为经济、社会发展的一项负担,应考虑主动增持。
作者 杨艺 陈华
出处 《金融与经济》 北大核心 2012年第12期12-15,共4页 Finance and Economy
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