摘要
研究目的:分析厦门市2002-2009年土地利用变化的情况及其主要驱动因素。研究方法:主成分分析法,回归分析法。研究结果:(1)全市主要土地利用类型的变化表现出耕地、园地和其他农用地的面积大幅下降,建设用地的面积普遍增长;(2)影响厦门市土地利用变化的主要驱动因素是人口增长、经济发展以及农业效益;(3)厦门市GDP每增长1亿元,需要新增建设用地约16.789hm2,减少耕地约9.873 hm2。研究结论:应用主成分分析法进行驱动力分析以及采用回归分析法得到的结果可以为厦门市制定土地利用管理政策提供参考。
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the change and driving forces of land-use in Xiamen City from 2002- 2009. The methods used in this paper are the principle component analysis and regression analysis. The results show that： （ 1 ） the tendency of land-use change is that the amount of cultivated land, garden plot and other agricultural land are de- creasing largely, and most construction land are rapidly increasing; （2） the main driving forces influencing the land-use in Xiamen City are the people growth and economic development and agricultural benefit; （3） it needs aboutl6. 789 hm2 of new construction land and at the same time reducing the 9. 873hm2 of cultivated land to get the city＇s GDP of 100 million. It is conclude that the analysis of driving forces with principle component method and the results of regression analysis are useful for the policy-decision of land - use management.
出处
《华侨大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
2012年第4期45-50,共6页
Journal of Huaqiao University(Philosophy & Social Sciences)
基金
华侨大学科研基金(09HZR16)
关键词
土地资源
驱动力
统计分析
土地利用变化
厦门市
land resources
driving forces
statistical analyses
land - use change
Xiamen City
