摘要
一个国家和地区致力于实现良性健康的城市化，需要具备3个条件：①扩大城市化的供给；②科学、分步骤地释放城市化的需求；③保障城市化供给和需求的基本均衡关系。文章从制度经济学的视角透视不同时期城市化特征的成因，指出城市化的演进实质上是城市化供求机制的演变，而其演变的动力则内生于一国或地区发展模式的变迁。进而构建了城市化供求均衡理论框架，将之应用于1949年以来中国城市化发展模式的分析，对其未来城市化长期发展的合理模式作出判断。提出了中国城市化发展需要向更具自生能力、更加全面的发展模式转变；为适应城市化供求关系的变化，城市化供求调控政策也要进行相应的调整；化解半城市化问题应该成为未来很长一段时期内城市化政策的主要取向。
The author believes that countries and regions that committed to achieving positive, healthy, and successful urbanization, requires three conditions： 1） to expand the supply of urbanization effectively; 2） to release the demand for urbanization scientifically and progressively; 3） to ensure the dynamic balance between supply and demand of urbanization. From the view of Institutional Economics, the author explains the features of the urbanization at different times, and points out that the transformation of urbanization is essentially the evolution of the supply-demand mechanism of urbanization, which is driven by the changes of a country/region＇s development model. Thus, the theoretical frame of Supply-demand Equilibrium of Urbanization is founded to analyze Cinas urbanization odelsince the founding of the country, and to make judgment on its rational long-term development model for the future： a more self-organized and more comprehen- sive ＂Fordism＂ paradigm. Besides, to meet the changes in the supply-demand relationship of urbanization, the urbanization policies should be adjusted accordingly, while the semi-urbanization would be a long period issue to be coped with in the future.
出处
《城市与区域规划研究》
2012年第2期80-97,共18页
Journal of Urban and Regional Planning
基金
国家自然科学基金(41171134)资助
关键词
发展模式
供求机制
制度经济学
城市化
中国
development model
supplydemand mechanism
institutional economics
urbanization
China
