摘要
扩大消费是实现我国经济转型和经济持续稳定增长的重要动力,养老保险通过影响居民收入、居民收入再分配及居民心里预期对消费产生拉动效应。利用山东省17地市20032010年的面板数据实证分析养老保险对城镇居民消费的影响,发现养老保险支出对城镇居民消费具有正向影响,养老保险支出每增加1元,城镇居民消费支出增加0.0197元。因此,明确政府的责任主体地位、扩大养老保险覆盖面、提高统筹层次,不断完善养老保险制度将对居民消费的拉动发挥积极作用。
Expansion of domestic consumption is considered a driving force for economic transition and sustained economic growth in China. Social security could stimulate consumption via its impact on household income, income redistribution and consumer confidence. Using the data of 17 cities in Shandong province between 2003 and 2010, this paper attempts to empirically analyze the impact of social security on the consumption behavior of urban residents. It is found that pension positively affects consumption. Specifically, a 1 yuan increase in social security will lead to an increase of 0. 0197 yuan in domestic consumption. In light of our findings, we put forth some suggestions on how to enhance social security to encourage domestic consumption. First, the government should assume the pri- mary responsibility in providing social security. Second, social security coverage should be constantly enlarged and the co-ordination level be constantly raised. Third, specific characteristics of different provinces should be taken into full consideration to constantly improve the social security system.
出处
《山东大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第6期81-86,共6页
Journal of Shandong University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)
基金
山东省软科学基金"新型农村合作医疗效率评价与财政支持政策研究"(项目编号2012RKE27011)的阶段性成果
关键词
基本养老保险
城镇居民消费
拉动效应
山东省
面板分析
social security
consumption of urban residents
Life Cycle Hypothesis
Shandong province
panel data analysis
