摘要
根据1990-2010年扬州市入境旅游人数统计数据,运用灰色系统GM(1,1)模型进行预测,通过预测数据和实际数据对比,分析了2005年以后旅游节对扬州市入境旅游人数的影响,模型通过了各项指标的检验,为扬州市旅游业发展提供了科学的依据.
This article predicted the number of inbound tourists with GM（1,1）grey model according to the statistics from 1990 to 2010.The influence of tourist festival on the number of Yangzhou inbound tourists after 2005 was analyzed through Comparing the predictive data with actual data.The model level for the prediction is good through examining each target,and provides a scientific basis on Yangzhou tourism development.
出处
《佳木斯大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2012年第5期793-795,共3页
Journal of Jiamusi University：Natural Science Edition
