摘要
使用RegCM-Miroc预估数据,采用线性倾向估计法,对南岭山地2030～2050年的年均降水、年平均气温、7月平均气温进行分析。结果表明:降水呈逐年增加的趋势,但增幅相对1980～2010年明显减少;气温的较快升高,增幅相对1980～2010年明显增加。
By using RegCM-Miroc approximate data,and adopting linear trend estimation method,the average annual precipitation,annual average temperature,average temperature of July in 2030~2050 of Nanling mountain were forecasted.The results show that the precipitation will take a rising trend,but the increase amplitude predicted will significantly reduced than the factual increase amplitude in 1980~2010;the temperature will relatively soon increase,the increase amplitude predicted will significantly arise relative to the factual increase amplitude in 1980~2010.
出处
《中南林业科技大学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2012年第9期110-113,共4页
Journal of Central South University of Forestry & Technology
基金
林业公益性行业科研专项(200804001)
关键词
山地气候模型
南岭山地
气候变化
mountainous climate model
Nanling Mountain
climate change
