摘要
为了对中国资本外逃的规模做出尽可能准确的估算 ,本文结合中国的实际情况对世界银行的余额法进行了一系列的调整 ,具体包括 :(1 )对资金来源项高报和低报部分的估算和调整 ;(2 )对正常的资本流出部分的剃除 ;(3)对居民境内外币资产的剃除 ;以及 (4)对余额法漏计的进出口误报部分进行了仔细的估算和调整。结果表明 :1 982— 1 999年期间 ,中国传统意义上的资本外逃额累计约达 2 32 8 65亿美元 ,年平均约为 1 2 9 37亿美元。
To estimate the scale of capital flight in China as exact as possible,this paper makes a series of adjustments on the World Bank's residual method in the light of specific conditions in China.These adjustments includes:ⅰ) calculate and adjust the overvalued and undervalued parts of fund sources;ⅱ) take off the normal capital outflows;ⅲ) wipe off the residences' domestic foreign currency assets;and ⅳ) estimate carefully the mis\|invoicing part that was missed out by residual method.the result based on the above shows:from 1982 to 1999,the scale of traditional capital flight in China amounted to $232,865 millions,with an average of $ 12,937 millions.
出处
《金融研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2000年第8期72-82,共11页
Journal of Financial Research
基金
国家社科规划基金资助课题!<中国的资本流出问题研究>的一部分
关键词
资本外逃
资本流出
资金来源
境内外币资产
中国
capital flight mormal capital outflows fund source Domestic foreign currency assets mis-invoicing
