期刊文献+

资产价格产生非线性特征的内在原因分析——基于异质信念资产定价模型的蒙特卡罗法模拟

The Underlying Causes Analysis of Non-linear Characteristics of the Asset Prices: Monte Carlo Simulation Based on the Heterogeneous Beliefs Asset Pricing Model
在线阅读 下载PDF
导出
摘要 基于异质信念资产定价模型,运用蒙特卡罗模拟的方法产生异质信念下资产均衡价格的时间序列数据,并对其非线性特征进行相关检验。研究发现,该时间序列具有尖峰肥尾特征、波动率聚类现象和自相似特征,但没能捕捉到长期记忆现象。说明投资者的异质信念是资产价格产生非线性特征的重要内在原因。 Based on the heterogeneous beliefs asset pricing model, the time series data of equilibrium asset prices is produced through Monte Carlo simulation method. The correlation test to the non-linear characteristics of the data is made and found the peak fat tail characteristic, volatility clustering phenomena and self-similar characteristics, However. no long-term memory phenomenon, h is illustrates that the heterogeneity of investor beliefs is one of the important underlying cause to non-linear characteristics of tile asset prices, but not all of it.
作者 邹裔忠
机构地区 武夷学院商学院
出处 《成都理工大学学报(社会科学版)》 2012年第6期63-67,共5页 Journal of Chengdu University of Technology:Social Sciences
基金 福建省科技计划重点项目(2011Y0049)的阶段性研究成果
关键词 异质信念 非线性特征 蒙特卡罗模拟 heterogeneous beliefs non-linear characteristics Monte Carlo simulation
  • 相关文献

参考文献6

  • 1William R. Parkea and George A. Watersb. An evolutionary game theory explanation of ARCH effects[J]. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, 2007. ( 31 ): 2234 - 2262.
  • 2Brock. W. A. , Hommes, C. H. Heterogeneous belief and routes to chaos in a simple asset pricing model[J]. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Contro, 1998, (22) : 1235-1274.
  • 3Henrik Amilon. Estimation of an Adaptive Stock Market Model with Heterogeneous Agents[J]. Journal o:f Empirical Finance, 2008, (3) : 342 - 362.
  • 4RUEY S.TSAY.金融时间序列分析[M].潘家族,译.北京:机械工业出版社,2006.
  • 5Nychka, D. , Ellner, S. , Gallant. A. R. and McCaffrey, D. Finding chaos in noisy system[J]. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. 1992. ( 54 ) : 399 - 426.
  • 6Mototsugu Shintani. Oliver Linton. Nonparametric neural network estimation of i.yapunov exponents and a direct test for chaos[J]. Journal of Econometrics,2004, (5) : 1 - 33.

共引文献8

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部