摘要
本文分析了旅游引力模型、多元（逐步）回归模型和时间序列模型在预测旅游人数方面的优缺点。并给出了河北省今后几年国外游客人数及美国游客人数的预测结果。对河北省旅游业的发展提出若干建议。
The models of tourist gravity, multivariate regression and time series, are discussed in the paper, and feasibility and defect are pointed out in the forecast of tourist population. At the same time it shows the forecast result of foreign tourist population in next years in Hebei. Furthermore, some worthful advise is offered for the further development of Hebei's tourist.
出处
《河北省科学院学报》
CAS
2000年第2期85-88,共4页
Journal of The Hebei Academy of Sciences
