摘要
运用新陈代谢模型预测甘肃省2010-2020年的二氧化碳排放总量和GDP,并由此得到在当前减排力度下的甘肃省二氧化碳排放强度,结果与我国政府公布2020年单位GDP的二氧化碳排放强度比2005年降低40%～45%的控制目标还相差很多.为了能够实现承诺,更是为了防止二氧化碳等温室气体排放所引起的气候变化问题日益严重,应加大环保力度和采取更为有效的环保措施以减少二氧化碳的排放.
A prediction for the carbon dioxide emission in Gansu Province and its GDP in the years of 2010-2020 based on the metabolism grey model has been made. Carbon dioxide emission intensity in Gansu with the current emission reduction measures is obtained. The result shows that there is a long way to go for achieving government＇s goal of a 40 -45% of CO2 reduction emission per GDP in 2020 less than that in 2005. Therefore, in order to achieve our commitment and to prevent the deterioration of climate change incurred by the emission of greenhouse gas, we should take more effective environmental protection measures to reduce carbon dioxide emission.
出处
《西安文理学院学报（自然科学版）》
2012年第4期104-108,共5页
Journal of Xi’an University(Natural Science Edition)
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金资助重大项目(12LZUJBWZZ002)
2011年甘肃省社科规划项目"甘肃区域和行业碳减排问题研究"
