期刊文献+

大型电话咨询中心来电量预测模型和分析 被引量:1

FORECASTING MODEL OF PHONE CALLS AMOUNT FOR LARGE-SCALE CALL CENTRES AND ITS ANALYSES
在线阅读 下载PDF
导出
摘要 人工来电量预测是大型电话咨询中心座席安排的重要依据。对某行业的大型电话咨询中心的历史数据进行分析和数据挖掘,并利用ARIMA模型给出一个小时来电量的预测模型。检验结果表明模型预测数据对实际数据有较高的拟合度。 The forecast of manual phone calls amount is the important base for a large-scale call centre to plan its staff schedule.In this paper we analyse the historical data of the large-scale call centre of a certain trade and conduct the data mining,and use ARIMA model to have worked out a forecast model for one-hour phone call amount.The result of verification shows that the data predicted by the model perfectly fits the actual data.
作者 杜守国 姜锋
出处 《计算机应用与软件》 CSCD 北大核心 2012年第9期126-128,共3页 Computer Applications and Software
基金 2010上海市优秀学科带头人计划(10XD1423200)
关键词 电话咨询中心 ARIMA模型 预测 Call centre, ARIMA model, Forecasting
  • 相关文献

参考文献4

二级参考文献18

  • 1高宁,张建中.MATLAB在RBF神经网络模型中的应用[J].农业网络信息,2009(2):110-111. 被引量:18
  • 2WANG Bang-ju,WANG Yu-hua,NIU Li-ping,ZHANG Huan-guo.Pseudo Random Number Generator Based on Back Propagation Neural Network[J].Semiconductor Photonics and Technology,2007,13(2):164-168. 被引量:3
  • 3刘幺和,陈睿,彭伟,周蕾.一种BP神经网络学习率的优化设计[J].湖北工业大学学报,2007,22(3):1-3. 被引量:15
  • 4N Gans, G Koole, A Mandelbaum. Telephone Call Centers: Tutorial, Review, and Research Prospects. Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 5:79-141, 2003.
  • 5G Koole. Call Center Mathematics, technical reports, www.math.vu.nl/-koole/ccmath.
  • 6L Brown, N Gans, A. Mandelbaum, and et al. Statistical analysis of a telephone call center: a queueing science perspective. Working Paper, The Wharton School, 2002.
  • 7Mandelbaum, A. Sakov, and S. Zeltyn. Empirical analysis of a call center. Technical Report, Technion, 2001.
  • 8J. Nijdam. Forecasting telecommunications services using Box-Jenkins (ARIMA) models. Telecommunication Journal of Australia, 40 (1): 31-37,1990.
  • 9Weidong Xu. Longe range planning for call centers at FedEx. The Journal of Business Forecasting Methods and Systems, 18 (4):7-11, Winter t 999/2000.
  • 10S Makridakis, S C Wheelwright, and R.J. Hyndman. Forecasting: Methods and Applications. John Wiley and Sons, Inc., 1998.

共引文献21

同被引文献5

引证文献1

二级引证文献2

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部