摘要
本文以一种地理空间的视角,采用空间面板数据模型,考察了产业结构调整背景下全国和东、中、西部地区1995—2011年经济增长速度与结构性因素之间的关系。实证研究的结果表明,中国经济增长速度总体上存在着空间自相关;东部地区经济增长已经开始"结构性减速",西部地区正在"结构性加速",而中部地区为"加速"与"减速"并存,整体呈现出"结构性加速";全国经济总体上依然维持在"结构性加速"阶段,但经济增长分化的格局业已形成;对于经济增长速度影响最大因素是劳动生产率增速,其次是空间效应,平均工资增速的影响较小,其他因素对经济增长速度的影响不明显。
From a spatial perspective, this paper studies the relationship between economic growth rate and its structural factors under the background of industrial structure adjusting in entire country and eastern, central and western regions from 1995 to 2011 based on spatial panel data models. Empirical results show that China＇s economic growth rate in general has spatial autocorrelation. The eastern region＇s economic growth has begun to structural decelerate, and the western region＇s is structural accelerating. There is a coexistence of acceleration and deceleration in central region, while overall shows acceleration. The national economy as a whole is still maintained structural accelerating, but the pattern of economic growth divergence has been formed. The labor productivity growth rate is the greatest impact factor on economic growth rate, followed by spatial effect, and the effect of average wage growth rate is smaller. Other factors have no significant effects on the economic growth rate.
出处
《中国工业经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第9期31-43,共13页
China Industrial Economics
基金
上海市教委科研创新项目"中国金融发展的决定因素
空间差异和区域协调研究"(批准号12YS144)
上海高校选拔培养优秀青年教师科研项目"长三角区域经济增长与环境污染的相互作用机制研究"(批准号sjr10010)
关键词
产业结构
结构性减速
经济增长分化
空间自相关
空间面板数据
industrial structure
structural decelerating
economic growth divergenting
spatial autocorrelation
spatial panel data
