摘要
本文总结了由中国环境科学研究院、中国科学院地理资源所、北京工业大学、北京市气候中心共同承担环保公益性行业科研专项"空气污染对气候变化的影响与反馈研究"课题有关研究成果。包括污染物和温室气体排放现状和趋势、空气质量模拟及应用、区域气候模拟及应用、未来气候变化情景及对污染物影响以及应对气候变化的污染物防控措施和效果的研究进展。主要阶段性成果包括:建立了基准年典型空气污染物和主要温室气体排放数据库,并分区域和行业综合评估了我国空气污染物和温室气体排放现状和趋势;利用区域气候模型对全国近十年气候状况进行了模拟分析,开展了典型地区的敏感性试验;分析了典型地区(京津冀、长三角和珠三角3个城市群)空气污染指数(API)与不同气象要素的相关性,揭示了气象因子对空气污染的影响机理;对比分析了典型发达国家或组织和典型发展中国家的污染物防控和应对气候变化的政策措施及效果,并对未来空气污染对气候变化的影响与反馈研究的方向和重点进行了展望。
Climate change and air pollution are important environmental issues that human have to face. The research on impacts of air pollution on climate change and the feedback has an important theoretical value and can provide technical support for policy makers. This paper has summarized the research results of the ongoing projects, which were funded by The National Environmental Protection Public Welfare Industry Targeted Research Fund, named ＂Research on Impacts and Feedback of Air Pollution on Climate Change＂. The research groups are made up of experts from Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing University of Technology, and Climate Center of Beijing Meteorological Bureau. Some significant results have been achieved in present state, such as the current situation and future trends of pollutants and greenhouse gases emission, air quality modeling and its application, regional climate simulation and its application, future scenarios of climate change and its effect on air pollution, as well as the progress of research on pollutants prevention and control measures of tackling climate change. The main initial results include the establishment of a base year database of typical air pollutants and major greenhouse gases, assessment of real status and future trend of air pollutants and greenhouse gas emissions in different regions and industries in China, simulation of climate status for nearly ten years using regional climate model （RegCM） and sensitivity experiments in typical area, analysis of correlation between air pollution index （API） and meteorological elements in typical area （three urban agglomerations： Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Province, Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta）, the research of impact mechanism of meteorological factors on air pollution, the comparation study of pollution prevention and control measures as well as policy measures to tackle climate change and the effects in typical developed countries or organizations and typical developing countries. The future research should be strengthened in aspects including the compile of emission inventory of different pollution sources, the foundation of three-dimensional observation network, the development of model tools, the study for radiative forcing of typical air pollutants, in particular black carbon and sulphate aerosol, the research on characteristics of climate change in typical area under different emission scenarios, the air pollution control measures under the background of climate change.
出处
《资源科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2012年第8期1384-1391,共8页
Resources Science
基金
国家环保公益性行业科研专项(编号:201109065)
关键词
空气污染
气候变化
影响
反馈
Air pollution
Climate change
Impacts
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