摘要
文章选取1990-2011年期间经济比较发达、港口物流产业发展相对成熟的江苏沿江地区港口物流和区域经济的数据,运用Granger因果检验的方法对其互动关系进行了实证研究分析。研究结果显示,该地区港口物流与区域经济之间存在单向因果关系,港口物流对区域经济发展有较大促进作用,而区域经济对港口物流的发展没有起到应有的作用。
This article, based on the data of the port logistics as well as that of the regional economy along the Yangtze River in Jiangsu characterized by developed economy and relatively mature port logistics industry in 1990-2011, makes an empirical research on their interaction with Granger Causality Test. The results show that one-way causal relationship exists between the port logistics and the regional economy in that the port logistics greatly promotes the regional economic development while the latter fails to play its due role in the development of the former.
出处
《南通航运职业技术学院学报》
2012年第2期68-72,共5页
Journal of Nantong Vocational & Technical Shipping College
基金
江苏省教育厅社科基金资助项目"江苏沿江港口与区域经济互动发展研究"(项目编号:2010SJD790017)
关键词
沿江港口物流
区域经济
协整
GRANGER因果检验
Port logistics along the Yangtze River
Regional economy
Co-integration
Granger Causality Test
