摘要
居住区的居民入住率情况对于负荷的影响较为明显,且处于不同发展阶段的居住区的居民入住率与负荷的关系又有一定的区别。探讨了居民入住率与不同发展阶段居住区月最大负荷之间的关系,通过剔除气温负荷,建立月最大负荷基准值与居民入住率之间的关系模型,最终通过居民入住率的预测来对居住区的电力负荷进行预测。最后结合实例,分析了在居住区月最大负荷预测过程中运用该方法的过程及应该注意的问题。
Occupancy rate has great influenced on power load in residential area. The various residential areas at different stages of development have different relationship between occupancy rate and power load. The relationship between residential occupancy rate and monthly peak power load in areas atthe different stages of development is explored. The relation models between the reference of monthly peak power load and residential occupancy rate are established without temperature load. Finally, the power load of the area can be forecasted by forecasting the residential occupancy rate. At last, the process of forecasting monthly peak power load and attentions in residential areas are elaborated with examples.
出处
《供用电》
2012年第3期30-34,共5页
Distribution & Utilization
关键词
居住区负荷
气温负荷
入住率
residential area loads temperature loads occupancy rate
