摘要
利用1990-2010年山西省能源消费总量和国内生产总值的数据,采用ADF单位根检验、格兰杰因果关系检验和协整关系检验的分析方法,对山西省能源消费和经济增长之间的关系进行了研究。研究结果表明:山西省存在从经济增长到能源消费的单向因果关系,能源消费和经济增长之间存在长期的协整关系。最后提出了促进山西经济和能源消费可持续发展的政策性建议。
Based on the data of the total Energy Consumption and GDP from 1990 to 2010, the author analyzed the Dynamic Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Shanxi through ADF root of unity test, Granger causality test and cointegration test. The result shows that there exits a one--way causality relationship from economic growth and energy consumption and a long--term cointegration between the both. Finally, the writer puts forward the policy proposal for the sustainable development of Shanxi economy and energy consumption.
出处
《未来与发展》
2012年第5期96-99,112,共5页
Future and Development
基金
山西省软科学项目(2010041085201)
关键词
能源消费
经济增长
单位根检验
协整检验
格兰杰因果关系检验
energy consumption
economic growth
root of unity test
cointegration test
Granger causality test
