摘要
以Barro和Sala-i-Martin的收敛假说为理论基础,利用面板模型探讨了甘肃省人口流动对其经济增长收敛性的影响。研究显示:2004-2009年,甘肃经济增长呈收敛趋势,人口流动对经济增长及其收敛性具有积极影响:不考虑人口流动因素甘肃经济增长以每年4.18%的速度趋向稳态水平,半程收敛时间为17年;考虑人口流动因素的影响后,省内各市州经济增长以5.69%的速度相互趋同,半程收敛时间缩短为12年,说明人口流动加快了经济增长的收敛速度。
Based on the convergence hypothesis by Barro and Sals-i-Martin,the panel data estimation approach is used to analyse the impact of population mobility on convergence of regional economic growth in Gansu province.Here are the findings： the time from 2004 to 2009 has witnessed the convergence in the provincial economic growth,and population flow having a positive effect on the economic development and its convergence;Without considering the factors of population mobility,the economic growth in the province tends to be steady with an annual rate of 4.18%,and the time for half convergence is 17 years,while taking the factors of mobility into consideration,the economic growth runs at a higher rate of 5.69% and the half convergence time reduces to 12 years.It is indicated that population mobility is likely to accelerate the convergence rate of economic growth.
出处
《南京人口管理干部学院学报》
CSSCI
2012年第2期25-30,共6页
Journal of Nanjing College for Population Programme Management
基金
甘肃省教育厅硕导基金资助项目(2009)
甘肃省哲学社会科学基金资助项目(2011)
关键词
人口流动
经济增长
区域差距
收敛效应
人口经济
甘肃省
Population Mobility
Economic Growth
Regional Difference
Convergence
Population and Economy
Gansu
