摘要
本文以计划生育政策的实施历史与流动人口主体的转变为背景,提出本文的研究对象新生代流动人口。根据实证调查资料,提出新生代流动人口生育期望的理论假设,运用定量统计的方法,从期望生育数量、生育时间、生育目的、性别偏好等4个方面对新生代流动人口的生育期望现状进行描述分析,指出新生代流动人口与传统流动人口以及新生代农村人口生育期望的异同。以生育期望的四个方面为因变量分别建立回归模型,解释个人背景、婚育状况以及流动经历对新生代流动人口生育期望的影响,最后提出改善新生代流动人口生育期望的建议。
The article takes the history of the Birth Control Policy and the transformation of floating population as the backgrounds, proposes the new generation floating population (NGFP) is the study object of the article. Based on the investigation materials,the research suppositions are proposed. The methods of quota statistics used to descript the present situations of the NGTP from the four aspects: birth quantity, birth time,birth goal and the sex. It finds out the differences between the NGFP and the traditional transient population as well as the new generation rural population. Then regression models are constructed to analyze the influencing factors of the birth expectation of the NGFP by adopting the personal backgrounds,the conditions of marriage and nurture and the migration experiences as explanatory variables. Finally some suggestions are put forward to improve the birth expectation of the NGFP.
出处
《西北人口》
CSSCI
2012年第2期103-107,113,共6页
Northwest Population Journal
关键词
新生代流动人口
生育期望
性别意识
The new generation floating population
Birth expectation
Gender consciousness