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金融危机与中国经济增长—基于省级面板数据实证分析

Finance crisis and China economy growth——demonstrative analysis based on provincial panel dates
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摘要 本文选取2008~2010年东、中、西部省市级18座代表城市的季度数据并运用面板数据模型,考察了金融危机对中国经济的影响。研究表明,出口额、实际利用外资、社会总消费水平对中国经济增长的相关关系为正数,但是出口额与实际利用外资对经济增长的贡献远不及社会总消费水平对中国经济增长贡献。因此得出,金融危机爆发后,中国经济主要依靠政府政策性调控,然而以政府为主导的经济增长方式并不利于经济的长期稳定发展。 This paper selects 2008-2010 quarterlyda- ta of the 18 citys representing east,middle.west provinces and uses panel data model, investigates the impact of financial crisis on Chinese economy. Re- search shows that, the correlation of the export amount, the actual utilization of foreign investment, total consumption level and China's economic growth is positive, but exports and the actual utilization of foreign capital s contribution to economic growth is far less than the total social consumption level of the Chinese economic growth contribution. Therefore, after the outbreak of the financial crisis, China's economy relies mainly on government's policy regulation. How- ever the government dominant mode of economic growth is not conducive to the long-term stable development of e- conomic.
作者 赵军 宋高燕
出处 《特区经济》 2012年第3期273-275,共3页 Special Zone Economy
关键词 经济增长 出口 金融危机 外资 Economic growth export financial crisis Foreign capital
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