摘要
游客是旅游业赖以生存和发展的重要因素,基于灰色系统理论,构建了游客灰色预测GM(1,1)模型,利用该模型对安徽省入境游客进行预测,结果表明安徽未来几年游客市场数量将大幅增加,这对提升安徽入境旅游的发展具有较高的参考价值.
Travel Tourist is an important factor for the survival and development of the tourism industry. This paper constructs a forecasting of GM （ 1,1 ） mode based on gray system theory to forecast Anhui inbound tourisis. The results showed that the number of Anhui inbound tourists will significantly increase in the future years, which is of great value to develop Anhui inbound tourism.
出处
《合肥学院学报（自然科学版）》
2012年第1期26-30,共5页
Journal of Hefei University :Natural Sciences
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(11YJC790094)资助
